Why Is Iran Attacking Other Countries? It's not just restricted to US bases now

 

A joint U.S.–Israel military operation against Iran is underway and has entered its fifth day.

Xinhua News

Iranian authorities (Iran Red Crescent) report at least 1000 people have been killed so far across 153 towns and cities inside Iran due to strikes that began on 28 February 2026. �

Dhaka Tribune

Strikes have hit both military sites and populated areas, causing widespread destruction. �

The Washington Post

The conflict has spread regionally with missile and drone exchanges, including retaliation from Iranian forces and allied militias such as Hezbollah. �

Why Is Iran Attacking Other Countries? It's not just restricted to US bases now

Before you read this, just answer one simple question. Can Iran win a war against USA & Israel?

It's a BIG NO. 

Not just because of superior weapons & military, but also because of superior intelligence. 

Anyways, but the reason Iran is doing this is to change the pressure dynamics.

If the fight stays between the U.S., Israel, and Iran…

Iran is isolated.

But if oil routes get threatened…

If Gulf economies feel heat…

If energy prices spike globally…

Then suddenly the whole world is involved.

That’s the logic.

Let's learn this taking India's example which is the largest democracy in Asia.

So, why Target the Gulf?

The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20% of global oil flows.

India alone receives around 2.5–2.7 million barrels per day through that corridor, and more than 60% of its energy imports come from the Gulf region.

So when instability spreads there, it doesn’t just hit Israel.

-  It hits India.

-  It hits Europe.

-  It hits Asia.

Oil prices rise.

Shipping insurance rises.

Logistics routes get longer.

Exports slow.

India exports billions of dollars in goods to the Gulf — Food, electronics, manufactured products.

If shipping routes shift toward the Cape of Good Hope (which is the alternative route) instead of shorter Middle East corridors, transit times increase by weeks.

-  Freight costs rise.

-  Insurance premiums rise.

-  Domestic prices rise.

And voters start asking questions.

Not in Tehran.

In New Delhi. (Political Pressure)

In Dubai. (Economic Pressure)

In Doha. (Economic Pressure)

That’s the strategy.

Create economic pressure far beyond the battlefield.

Force political pressure on Washington and Tel Aviv.

This Is About Regime Change

The objective being discussed is not just retaliation.

It’s regime change.

1.  Remove the leadership.

2.  Replace the structure.

3.  Install a government that will align differently.

..

Now, this is something that you should know because it affects you directly...

President Trump has said the war could end in four weeks and that operations are on schedule.

Maybe.

Maybe militarily.

But regime change doesn’t operate on a timeline, it has it's own problems.

You can remove a leader.

But then what?

-  Who replaces him?

-  Who do the Iranian people trust?

-  Is there a clear successor with legitimacy?

-  Is there a unifying figure strong enough to stabilize the country?

Right now, no obvious alternative leader stands out publicly.

And that’s the real issue.

So, my analysis that 4-weeks is slightly optimistic because wars can move fast. 

Everything in Iran can be destroyed in a week. But, regime changes don't work that way. 

If the objective truly is regime change, the real challenge isn’t the strike.

It’s succession.

Who commands loyalty from:

1. The military?

2. The Revolutionary Guard?

3. The population?

4. The religious establishment?

If leadership collapses without a trusted replacement, you don’t get stability.

You get a vacuum.

And vacuums create chaos.

And if the war goes beyond 4 weeks, it'll affect you even more. 

So, to sum up here's the strategy - widen the battlefield, that's leverage. That's what Iran's strategy is. 

If Dubai feels it.

If India feels it.

If Gulf economies feel it.

If oil-importing nations feel it.

Then diplomatic pressure multiplies.

The idea is simple:

Make the economic pain broad enough that someone forces a pause.

Buy time and complicate the regime-change timeline.